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ClearMarket

fyi.clearmarket/clearmarket
データ・分析 金融・投資 公開・接続可能 MCP 2026-07-28

このMCPでできること

Provides prediction-market event and market data, resolution-clarity assessments, cross-venue links, catalysts, and structured market signals.

get_event
Fetch the full ClearMarket record for one event by slug: the canonical question, every market in this event's single-venue bundle, each market's current price + Resolution Clarity Grade (A/B/C) + resolution-source provenance, the canonical question_id where the question is linked across venues/events (null otherwise; also_on lists the same question priced on the other venue, when it trades there), and the upcoming catalyst dates that move it before it resolves. In the default detail="full", each market in the bundle is FULLY detailed (grade, rcg.caps, provenance, direction, settlement_style, also_on) — you do not need a separate get_market call for markets already in this event. Note: a shared question_id means same topic across venues; in rare cases it links structurally-different contracts (e.g. a "hike" vs a "cut-count" market), so verify the contract shape before treating two as an arbitrage pair. Use when you need the authoritative, graded view of a SPECIFIC event — including its cross-venue twins via also_on — before reasoning about or acting on a prediction market. If you only have a topic (not a slug), call list_events first. Set detail="concise" for a quick grade/price/source check (each market trimmed to the essentials — much smaller for events with many markets); use the default detail="full" when you need every market's rules, contract shape, and complete provenance.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'required': ['slug'], 'properties': {'slug': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'Event slug (e.g. "kxgdpyear-26") or CM event id (CM-EVT-…).'}, 'detail': {'enum': ['concise', 'full'], 'type': 'string', 'default': 'full', 'description': 'concise = essentials only (grade, price, source, also_on per market); full = the complete record. Default full.'}}}
get_market
Fetch one market and judge whether its price can be trusted. Accepts whatever id you have: a ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…), a venue-native market id or Kalshi ticker, or a market URL (best-effort — Kalshi tickers / a native id in the path resolve; for Polymarket pass the conditionId, not the slug URL). Returns: raw question, current price / implied probability, the Resolution Clarity Grade with rcg.score (0-100) and rcg.caps (a cap such as "uncommitted_placeholder" hard-limits the grade — that is why a single-source market can still be C), full resolution provenance (arbitration_model = who resolves it, named source, source_type, and a graded source_status on EVERY market: named / no-committed-source / none / unknown), the contract shape (direction, settlement_style, threshold), the canonical question_id where linked, and also_on (the same question priced on other venues). The returned market_id is ALWAYS the canonical ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…) — store and reuse THAT, not the venue id. Use before trusting or acting on a price.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'required': ['market_id'], 'properties': {'market_id': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'A ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…), a venue-native market id / Kalshi ticker, or a market URL (best-effort: Kalshi URLs resolve; for Polymarket pass the conditionId).'}}}
get_signal
Fetch one full CM Signal wire by slug: headline, the 3-5 structured bullets, atomic claims with per-field provenance tiers, the target + linked events, primary and related markets with prices, and sources. Use when you have a wire slug (from list_signals) and need the complete bulletin with its proof chain.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'required': ['slug'], 'properties': {'slug': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'Wire slug, e.g. "us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027-polymarket-77-2026-05-29".'}}}
list_events
Browse or search ClearMarket prediction-market events. Filter by category, platform, Resolution Clarity Grade, or free-text `q`. `q` is token-AND across question + tags, so SHORT KEYWORD queries match best ("microstrategy bitcoin", "fed rate") — natural-language phrases often return nothing. Returns compact graded summaries: slug, question, venues_covered, primary grade, rcg_score (0-100, for ranking clarity), last_price, and status (open / resolved). Start here when you have a topic but not a slug; then call get_event for the full graded record. Categories: economics, financials, crypto, companies, technology, politics, geopolitics, health, climate.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'properties': {'q': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'Free-text search across event questions. Omit to list the whole filtered universe.'}, 'grade': {'enum': ['A', 'B', 'C'], 'type': 'string', 'description': 'Resolution Clarity Grade of the primary market.'}, 'limit': {'type': 'integer', 'default': 50, 'maximum': 100, 'minimum': 1}, 'offset': {'type': 'integer', 'default': 0, 'minimum': 0}, 'category': {'enum': ['economics', 'financials', 'crypto', 'companies', 'technology', 'politics', 'geopolitics', 'health', 'climate'], 'type': 'string'}, 'platform': {'enum': ['kalshi', 'polymarket'], 'type': 'string'}}}
list_signals
Browse the CM Signal daily wire — short, structured prediction-market bulletins (the price is the lede, news is context). Filter by event_id (every wire touching a specific event), category, venue, or detection type (news_cycle, cross_venue_divergence, benchmark_drift, volume_spike). Returns compact records, newest first; call get_signal for the full bulletin. Use to find ClearMarket's editorial read on what is moving.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'properties': {'limit': {'type': 'integer', 'default': 30, 'maximum': 100, 'minimum': 1}, 'venue': {'enum': ['kalshi', 'polymarket'], 'type': 'string'}, 'category': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'Signal category tag (case-insensitive): VS_BENCHMARK_DRIFT | CROSS_VENUE_DIVERGENCE | VOLUME_SPIKE | MOMENTUM_REPRICING | PRE_EVENT_PRICING. For thematic filtering use list_events.'}, 'event_id': {'type': 'string', 'description': 'Return only wires that target or link to this CM event_id.'}, 'detection_path': {'enum': ['news_cycle', 'cross_venue_divergence', 'benchmark_drift', 'volume_spike'], 'type': 'string'}}}
list_upcoming_catalysts
List scheduled catalysts (CPI, jobs, FOMC, GDP, large-cap earnings) in the next N days that move prediction-market prices BEFORE those markets resolve — a cross-event view across the whole calendar. Each entry is provenanced to its authoritative source (BLS, Fed, etc.). Use to find what scheduled events will reprice the prediction-market universe soon.
入力スキーマ
{'type': 'object', 'properties': {'days': {'type': 'integer', 'default': 30, 'maximum': 365, 'minimum': 1}}}
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get_signal
2026年9月17日12:39
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list_signals
2026年9月17日12:39
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list_upcoming_catalysts
2026年9月17日12:39
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get_market
2026年9月17日12:39
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get_event
2026年9月17日12:39
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list_events
2026年9月17日12:39